Arsenal seems to be in particular good form, they have just beaten Manchester City last night, with Arteta scored a spectacular goal from 25 yard. In fact, in the last 8 games, they won 7 and lost 1. Chelsea with the regime of Di Matteo is performing as well as they could, and already advanced to semi-final of Champions League.
On the other hand, history is on Arsenal side having won 19 times compared to Chelsea's 13 times. In terms of goal this season, Arsenal has a commanding lead, with Persie's number of goals equal to total of the 3 top scorer of Chelsea.
With 5 points difference, this is a match Chelsea must make no error in order to be in top 4 this season, which is something considered more important than Champions League by Matteo.
Given the performance of Arsenal, and yet convincing talent of Matteo, I would say the two teams are on equal foot. However, advantage of homeground is something that Chelsea does not have, therefore I would predict a minimum win of 2-1 for Arsenal this time around.
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