Thursday 28 June 2012

Pre-match Preview: EURO 2012 Semi Final, Germany vs Italy


Tonight match against Italy will be the opportunity for Germany to revenge their previous loss on home ground and looking forward to the title after 16 years of waiting. 

The most recent encounter of two teams was the semi-final World Cup 2006, and Azzurri was the winner on Germany's home ground. But the Italy's golden generation only left Buffon and Pirlo, while Loew's squad has matured with many names that can shine. 


Germany is the favorite at EURO 2012
With 3 effortless wins at group stage, Germany cruised easily to quarterfinal where Greece awaited. Joachim Loew was confident enough to put the important players on the bench including Mario Gomez and Thomas Mueller. He introduced some young players who have never played a match in EURO before like Marco Reus or Andreas Schuerrle. He arguably used Klose, a veteran that proved not effective when substituted in. 

But Klose and Reus went ahead and proved that Loew's decision was indeed correct by two goals for Germany. Goal even came from Germany's defender Philipp Lahm. If Mario Gomez is on top of scoring chart, the 34 year old Klose still showed that he has what it takes with a goal in the match against Greece. 

On the other hand, Italy did not have a smooth path like Germany. He had two draws for the start, and some troubles were seen with Italy's offense, when they do not have a really good striker to go with Pirlo. In the quarterfinal against England, Italy still depended too much on Pirlo, one of the few left since World Cup 2006. If put Italy together with Germany, it seems that Prandelli is at huge disadvantage. The only thing that the Italian can cling on to is the history against Germany. However, as proven by France's faith in the match against Spain, history always changes. 

The 15 consecutive wins of Germany is an impressive record to catch, however, Joachim Loew's men have a more important aim, which is to win the first title for Germany after 16 years. 

Our prediction

Germany looks really strong for Italy. Depending on Pirlo alone will not be enough as Germany has some of the best skipper in the midfield. Our prediction leans toward Germany and we say a 1-0 win will be a fair result. 

Betting Tips


Germany Asian Handicap (-) 0.5 at odds 0.930 seems to be the most sensible bet. However, if you are confident with the chance of Germany, Asian Handicap (-) 0.75 at odds 1.266 is worth going for. It will not likely to be a draw so why don't you put money down for 1x2 for Germany to win at odds 1.91 (Decimal odds)

Fore more odds and market, refer to 36BOL Sports Betting

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